IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Chicago St.
Western Athletic
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-17.2	#351
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.7	#56
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.9	#341

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-9.2	#353

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.8	15.8

.500 or above	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	0.6%	1.6%	0.4%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	85.9%	76.6%	87.5%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Home) - 14.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	0 - 8	0 - 15
Quad 4	2 - 10	3 - 25

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2019	209	Loyola Maryland	L	72-83	15%
Nov 12, 2019	255	@ Eastern Illinois	L	68-83	8%
Nov 16, 2019	12	@ Purdue	L	57-93	0.0%
Nov 25, 2019	18	@ Florida St.	L	59-93	0.1%
Nov 29, 2019	216	Jacksonville St.	L	67-81	10%
Dec 04, 2019	324	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	73-83	20%
Dec 06, 2019	272	@ Tennessee St.	L	70-84	11%
Dec 17, 2019	205	Oral Roberts	L	72-83	16%
Dec 19, 2019	147	Northern Illinois	L	66-81	9%
Dec 22, 2019	158	@ Indiana St.	L	67-87	4%
Dec 30, 2019	53	@ Missouri	L	56-86	1%
Jan 02, 2020	236	Utah Valley	L	71-81	19%
Jan 04, 2020	168	Seattle	L	67-81	12%
Jan 09, 2020	55	@ New Mexico St.	L	59-89	1%
Jan 11, 2020	230	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	68-84	8%
Jan 16, 2020	137	Grand Canyon	L	68-84	9%
Jan 18, 2020	197	Cal St. Bakersfield	L	65-77	16%
Jan 22, 2020	228	@ California Baptist	L	70-86	8%
Feb 01, 2020	234	UMKC	L	69-79	20%
Feb 06, 2020	55	New Mexico St.	L	62-86	2%
Feb 08, 2020	230	UT Rio Grande Valley	L	71-81	20%
Feb 13, 2020	197	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	62-80	7%
Feb 15, 2020	137	@ Grand Canyon	L	65-87	4%
Feb 22, 2020	228	California Baptist	L	73-83	20%
Feb 29, 2020	234	@ UMKC	L	66-82	9%
Mar 05, 2020	168	@ Seattle	L	64-84	5%
Mar 07, 2020	236	@ Utah Valley	L	68-84	9%
Projected Record						3 - 24	2 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Western Athletic Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st												0.0							0.0	1st
2nd										0.0		0.0	0.0						0.0	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.2	3rd
4th							0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0								0.4	4th
5th						0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0								0.8	5th
6th					0.1	0.8	0.9	0.3	0.0										2.0	6th
7th			0.0	0.6	1.8	1.6	0.6	0.0											4.6	7th
8th		0.7	3.6	5.9	3.7	0.9	0.1	0.0											14.9	8th
9th	27.0	26.7	16.1	5.9	1.2	0.1													77.1	9th

Total	27.0	27.4	19.8	12.3	6.9	3.4	1.7	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0							Total

Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4	0.0%
11-5	5.0%	0.0			0.0
10-6	0.0%
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0			0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4	0.0%																					0.0		0.0
11-5	0.0%																							0.0
10-6	0.0%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.2%		0.2%	0.2%		15.0																0.0		0.2
8-8	0.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	0.4
7-9	0.8%																							0.8
6-10	1.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	1.7
5-11	3.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	3.4
4-12	6.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.9
3-13	12.3%																							12.3
2-14	19.8%																							19.8
1-15	27.4%																							27.4
0-16	27.0%																							27.0

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.8																0.0	0.0	100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	16.1%